Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-2
CD Toledo vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 1
LPA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RVB
1 - 1
CDT
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 1
CDT
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
RMC
4 - 1
CDT
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 2
UDS
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
ATB
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATB
1 - 2
HUR
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 1
CDT
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 0
ELD
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MLL
1 - 2
ATB
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |