Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-9
CD Toledo vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 1
CIE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ACF
0 - 0
CDT
56%
25%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 1
TAL
66%
22%
12%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 0
ALC
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDT
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 0
ESP
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
4 - 1
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 0
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ELC
4 - 4
ATM
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |