Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
CD Toledo vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LPA
3 - 0
CDT
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 2
TAL
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
ALC
6 - 0
CDT
63%
19%
17%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
CDT
3 - 0
QUI
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
PEG
2 - 5
CDT
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 1
ARG
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ARG
4 - 1
ALC
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +3 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
ARG
0 - 3
SAL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
BÉJ
5 - 0
ARG
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ARG
3 - 1
EIB
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |