CD Toledo vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
CUL
0 - 0
CDT
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
CDT
3 - 1
PON
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
LEG
3 - 2
CDT
63%
23%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
CDT
1 - 1
GET
33%
31%
37%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
UPL
2 - 3
CDT
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ALC
0 - 0
PON
50%
27%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
GET
1 - 0
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ALC
2 - 0
LUG
46%
29%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
SPB
0 - 1
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ALC
6 - 0
ASP
53%
27%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |