CD Toledo vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CDT
0 - 0
TEL
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GUA
1 - 0
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
LPA
0 - 2
CDT
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
CDT
1 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
COL
0 - 1
CDT
43%
28%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
AGD
2 - 0
LPA
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SFE
1 - 4
AGD
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
BAL
3 - 0
AGD
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
LIN
5 - 0
AGD
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |