CD Toledo U19 vs Arges Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
3º
1
10º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
4 | 72 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 70 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 67 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 55 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 49 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 43 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 43 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 34 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 2
TOL
28%
21%
51%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
SPO
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALM
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
TOL
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
EFF
70%
16%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arges Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 1
ARG
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ROD
65%
19%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 0
ARG
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CDA
27%
23%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAZ
4 - 1
ARG
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |