CD Toledo U19 vs Academia Albiceleste Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
5º
11
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 73 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 72 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 67 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 63 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 50 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 46 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 43 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 23 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
11 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
APU
2 - 3
TOL
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
TOL
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
ARG
73%
15%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 2
TOL
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Academia Albiceleste Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SON
1 - 0
ALB
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
ARG
29%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALB
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
ROD
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JES
1 - 3
ALB
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |