Thader vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
ELD
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RED
1 - 2
THD
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
THD
2 - 1
BEN
76%
16%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NUD
3 - 2
THD
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
CRE
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIJ
2 - 0
VIL
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ELD
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |