Thader vs Élitei Project analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
IND
3 - 0
THD
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
THD
0 - 0
ORI
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
THD
1 - 2
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 3
THD
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
THD
1 - 0
UNI
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Élitei Project
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ELD
1 - 1
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
ELD
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ELD
2 - 1
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
ELD
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
ELD
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |