Técnico Universitario vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEC
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
TEC
79%
12%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
TEC
79%
12%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUN
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |