Técnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
9º
14
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 19 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 15 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
2.5% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 88.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
EME
3 - 1
TEC
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
UCE
2 - 2
TEC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TEC
3 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EME
0 - 0
TEC
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
TEC
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 0
ORE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UCE
5 - 1
MUS
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MUS
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |