Primera A Finals Final
Global 4-5
Técnico Universitario vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
TEC
4 - 3
LDU
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
TEC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 2
TEC
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLM
1 - 0
TEC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LIG
6 - 3
CLA
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 3
LIG
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 4
EME
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIG
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 3
LIG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |