CD Tapatío vs Tlaxcala FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
11º
12º
6
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
UAT
2 - 2
CDT
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 1
TOR
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
CDT
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
CDT
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 0
CFC
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
CIM
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZAC
5 - 1
TIA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
ATL
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
TIA
0 - 1
OVI
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
TIA
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |