CD Tapatío vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
11º
2º
10
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 24 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 16 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 12 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 41.5% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIA
2 - 3
CDT
20%
24%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 0
CAP
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
CDT
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
TEM
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 3
CDT
18%
23%
60%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 0
MER
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
MER
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |