CD Tapatío vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
12º
3º
1
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 30 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 23 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 23 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 20 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 18 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 17 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 16 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 14 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 13 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 11 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 9 |
15º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
88.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ALE
1 - 3
CDT
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 0
CDT
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDT
2 - 3
UDG
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 0
CDT
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
DOR
1 - 1
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UDG
4 - 0
DOR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DOR
0 - 2
ZAC
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
DOR
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
ATL
16%
26%
58%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +3 |