CD Tapatío vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
11º
12º
12
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 4
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 2
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
CDT
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 2
TEM
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDT
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
TOR
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MER
4 - 1
DOR
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 1
TIA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
4 - 0
DOR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
UDG
4 - 0
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |