Soto-Ibarbaso vs Aurrera De Leitza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Soto-Ibarbaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SDA
0 - 1
SOT
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SOT
2 - 1
CDI
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MEN
0 - 0
SOT
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SOT
3 - 2
DNT
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDI
3 - 1
SOT
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aurrera De Leitza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 0
AUR
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 1
CDU
14%
19%
68%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 2
SDA
29%
23%
48%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDI
1 - 0
AUR
47%
22%
31%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MEN
3 - 1
AUR
79%
13%
8%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |