Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-6
La Serena vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 3
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
CSD
3 - 1
DLS
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
DLS
4 - 1
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 0
LAU
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DLS
2 - 0
CSL
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 2
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
OHI
0 - 1
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |