La Serena vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
DLS
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DLS
3 - 2
CSL
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
DLS
4 - 2
ACS
33%
24%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 0
DLS
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 4
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 2
UCH
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 1
CSL
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
UCH
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 0
SCI
34%
25%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |