La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
DLS
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COB
2 - 2
DLS
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DLS
3 - 1
SWA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 2
OHI
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
DLS
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 3
OHI
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |