La Serena vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
ANT
0 - 0
DLS
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DLS
2 - 2
HUA
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 3
DLS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 4
COL
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
DLS
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 0
UCH
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 0
ANT
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 2
SWA
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |