La Serena vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
DLS
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
DLS
4 - 2
COQ
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ULC
0 - 1
CSL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 0
ULC
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
ULC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
ULC
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |