La Serena vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCH
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
DLS
4 - 2
OHI
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CSL
0 - 2
DLS
49%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
DLS
0 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 4
OHI
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ULC
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |