La Serena vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
DLS
0 - 1
ULC
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
DLS
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
COL
4 - 0
DLS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
DLS
3 - 1
IBE
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DLS
4 - 1
COL
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
COQ
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
COB
3 - 3
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IQU
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
IQU
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |