La Serena vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 2
DLS
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DLS
1 - 2
COQ
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NTA
0 - 2
DLS
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 1
CUR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
USF
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NTA
0 - 0
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |