La Serena vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DLS
0 - 2
COB
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 1
SWA
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CSL
3 - 1
DLS
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 1
DCO
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 0
CDM
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 1
PUE
50%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 0
DCO
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
COB
2 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |