La Serena vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 3
DLS
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 0
PUE
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DLS
0 - 2
COB
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NUB
0 - 0
CSD
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
COB
1 - 0
NUB
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NUB
0 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CDM
4 - 1
NUB
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NUB
0 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |