Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 0-4
La Serena vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DLS
4 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 1
DLS
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DLS
1 - 0
HUA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
DLS
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DLS
3 - 1
NUB
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 1
EVE
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAG
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAG
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
LOT
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |