La Serena vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 2
MAG
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 3
DLS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 0
USF
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COQ
4 - 0
DLS
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
3 - 0
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUR
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CUR
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CUR
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LOT
2 - 0
CUR
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |