La Serena vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
1º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 89.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DLS
3 - 0
USF
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
DLS
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
DLS
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 1
DSC
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 4
CSD
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 3
CUR
40%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
CSD
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CSD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |