La Serena vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 3
DLS
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 0
DCO
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EVE
2 - 0
DLS
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 2
USF
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CON
4 - 3
EVE
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CSD
1 - 2
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |