La Serena vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DLS
0 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 0
DLS
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 1
DLS
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 1
DLS
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 1
HUA
40%
24%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
SWA
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
COL
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
CSL
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |