La Serena vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 2
DLS
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 1
DCO
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 0
DLS
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 4
UCH
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 3
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 1
SWA
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 1
CDM
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 0
CSL
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |