La Serena vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
DLS
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DLS
2 - 0
COQ
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DLS
2 - 0
IBE
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CUR
0 - 0
DLS
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
COQ
1 - 1
DLS
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CSD
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
NUB
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
MAG
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
IBE
2 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |