La Serena vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NTA
0 - 2
DLS
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 1
CUR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 2
MAG
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 3
DLS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAG
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEP
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |