CD Santa Úrsula vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
18º
12º
46
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 82.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
CSU
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 0
SBA
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 1
VSB
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 1
CSU
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LPA
3 - 0
CDB
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LPA
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LPA
3 - 1
CDM
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
LPA
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 0
ARU
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |