CD Santa Úrsula vs San Bartolomé CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
18º
12º
22
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 1
VSB
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 1
CSU
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 0
CSU
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
LAN
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
San Bartolomé CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 0
CDB
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SBA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SBA
2 - 2
CDM
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
SBA
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 1
ARU
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |