CD Santa Fe vs Ciudad de Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 4
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 1
SAN
21%
20%
60%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
SAN
30%
22%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GAB
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PUR
0 - 3
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 0
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
CIU
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
CIU
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CIU
7 - 0
CFV
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CIU
0 - 1
ALF
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |