San Viator vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
17º
10º
4
2º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 63 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 59 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
2º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Viator
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
CSV
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 1
CDF
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AMU
0 - 3
CSV
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 2
CDS
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IRU
2 - 3
CSV
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 0
ATX
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ATX
5 - 0
OIA
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EIB
3 - 2
ATX
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATX
0 - 0
DDO
80%
12%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BKE
1 - 1
ATX
26%
25%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |