CD San Miguel vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
13º
11º
38
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ARU
2 - 2
CSM
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
UDS
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UNV
0 - 0
CSM
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 2
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VSB
1 - 0
CSM
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
UDI
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 4
RAC
3%
12%
85%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
LAN
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
PAN
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 1
LAN
17%
21%
63%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |