CD San Miguel vs Llanos Aridane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
10º
9º
3
10º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 70 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 68 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
CSM
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 1
TAM
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 1
VER
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 2
SDT
53%
22%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
CSM
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Llanos Aridane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
UDI
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VSB
3 - 0
LLA
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 3
CDM
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 4
LLA
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
FUE
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |