CD San Miguel vs Llanos Aridane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
13º
13º
15
10º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 25 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 20 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
CSM
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 1
TAM
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 1
VER
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 2
SDT
53%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
CSM
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Llanos Aridane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
UDI
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VSB
3 - 0
LLA
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 3
CDM
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 4
LLA
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
FUE
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |