CD San Mateo B vs Pegaso At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Mateo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 4
ONC
21%
18%
62%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCF
1 - 0
CSM
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 4
CDB
15%
16%
69%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
4 - 2
CSM
61%
19%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 1
CSF
39%
20%
41%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pegaso At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PEG
2 - 1
ZJD
22%
20%
58%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PEG
1 - 4
FLM
15%
17%
68%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
3 - 2
PEG
84%
10%
7%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 3
FCF
35%
22%
43%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
9 - 0
PEG
86%
9%
5%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |