CD San Fernando vs Villaviciosa Odón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 2
SFN
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SFN
2 - 0
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PBO
1 - 2
SFN
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SFN
0 - 0
ALC
45%
26%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
POZ
1 - 1
SFN
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villaviciosa Odón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VLO
1 - 1
CAR
29%
27%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 1
VLO
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VLO
0 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ADP
1 - 0
VLO
54%
25%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VLO
1 - 1
COL
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |