Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
CD San Fernando vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LEG
3 - 1
SFN
56%
25%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
SFN
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
SFN
4 - 0
TCF
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
CDS
3 - 1
SFN
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SFN
3 - 5
CIE
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
COL
4 - 0
CDT
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CDT
0 - 0
LEG
62%
23%
16%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
CDT
1 - 1
ZAR
54%
25%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
MUT
1 - 1
CDT
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
CDT
0 - 1
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |