CD San Fernando vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SSR
0 - 0
SFN
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SFN
1 - 0
SAG
32%
26%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EFC
1 - 1
SFN
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SFN
1 - 0
FUN
59%
23%
19%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SFN
0 - 0
CAN
38%
28%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
COS
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VLP
5 - 2
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
ARA
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
SSR
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
ARA
57%
22%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |