CD San Fernando vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SFN
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SFN
1 - 1
ATB
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 3
SFN
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 0
RVB
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 1
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 4
ALC
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |