CD San Fernando vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
STA
1 - 3
SFN
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TRC
0 - 1
SFN
15%
21%
64%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SFN
3 - 2
CDV
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
SFN
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
GET
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ADP
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAG
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |