San Esteban vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+398%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
EST
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
GOL
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 1
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
SJE
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
LAN
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
COV
1 - 3
TAR
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COV
3 - 1
ARC
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
COV
4 - 1
NOR
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
COV
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COV
2 - 1
NAV
36%
23%
41%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |