San Esteban vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
EST
37%
25%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
EST
2 - 2
TAR
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
EST
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDC
5 - 0
EST
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 4
VIL
15%
21%
64%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
COL
11 - 0
ATL
94%
5%
1%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
6 - 0
ATL
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 1
ATL
75%
15%
11%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TUR
3 - 0
ATL
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |