Saldaña vs Atlético Aguilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saldaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CER
0 - 1
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
SAL
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
BAL
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 1
VIL
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
ATA
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
MON
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 3
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 1
JOP
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |